Third-party grading transformed sports cards from collectibles into investable assets. Here is everything you need to understand the system — the four criteria that determine your grade, what each number means for resale value, which company to use, and how to run the same inspection process professionals use before you spend a dollar on submission.
| PSA Grade | Label / Name | Centering Tolerance | Typical Value vs. Raw |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Gem Mint | 55/45 front · 75/25 back | 3×–20×+ raw |
| 9 | Mint | 60/40 front · 80/20 back | 1.5×–5× raw |
| 8 | Near Mint–Mint | 65/35 front · 85/15 back | 1.2×–2× raw |
| 7 | Near Mint | 70/30 front · 90/10 back | ~1×–1.5× raw |
| 6 | Excellent–Mint | No specific ratio floor | At or below raw |
| 1–5 | Poor → Excellent | Not applicable | Below raw — grade adds liquidity, not premium |
Related Guides in This Series
1. What Grading Is and Why It Matters
Card grading is the process of having an independent, third-party company physically inspect a sports card, assign it a numerical grade from 1 to 10 reflecting its condition, and then seal it inside a tamper-evident plastic case called a slab. The grade is printed directly on the label embedded in the case, and the case itself is sonically welded shut — meaning any attempt to crack it open and swap the card is immediately visible.
That combination of expert opinion plus physical sealing solves three problems that have always plagued raw card transactions: trust, liquidity, and price discovery.
Trust: When you buy a raw card on eBay, you are trusting the seller's photos and description. Sellers have incentives to misrepresent condition. A PSA-graded slab removes that information asymmetry entirely — the grade is what it is, and PSA's authentication process also confirms the card is genuine and unaltered.
Liquidity: Graded cards trade like commodities. A PSA 10 1986 Fleer Michael Jordan is a specific, standardized item. Buyers know exactly what they are getting. This predictability means graded cards move faster and attract more bidders, which drives prices up.
Price discovery: Population reports — databases that show how many copies of a card exist at each grade — let investors calculate scarcity. If PSA has graded 12,000 copies of a card but only 400 came back PSA 10, that rarity at the top grade is priced into every sale.
The PSA 10 Premium in Practice
The price gap between grades is not linear — it is exponential at the top. Consider a widely collected modern card: a raw copy might sell for $40. A PSA 8 (Near-Mint to Mint) might fetch $80. A PSA 9 (Mint) could trade at $150. A PSA 10 (Gem Mint) might command $500 or more — more than 12 times the raw price — simply because fewer than 5% of submissions return at that top grade.
For vintage cards the gap widens even further. A 1952 Topps Mickey Mantle in PSA 1 condition has sold for tens of thousands of dollars. The same card in PSA 9 is a multi-million dollar asset. The grade is not just a descriptor — it is the primary determinant of value.
See also: how much more a PSA 10 is worth than a PSA 9.
2. The Four Grading Criteria
Every major grading company uses some version of the same four-criteria framework. Understanding each one — and what inspectors are actually looking for — is the foundation of intelligent submission decisions.
Centering
Centering measures how well the card image is positioned within its borders. It is expressed as a ratio: left-to-right and top-to-bottom. A perfectly centered card would be 50/50 both ways. In practice, printing imprecision means most cards come off the press with some offset.
PSA's Gem Mint standard allows up to 55/45 on the front and 75/25 on the back. BGS is stricter, requiring 55/45 front and 60/40 back for a Pristine 10. SGC uses similar tolerances to PSA.
Centering is the first thing most graders check because it is immediately visible and completely objective — you either meet the ratio or you do not. A card with 65/35 centering has zero chance of a PSA 10 regardless of how perfect the corners, edges, and surface are.
How to measure it yourself: lay the card on a flat surface under bright light and use a ruler or digital calipers to measure the border width on each side. Left border divided by right border gives you the left-to-right ratio. Do the same for top and bottom.
Corners
Corner condition is graded using a loupe — typically a 4x to 10x magnifying glass. Inspectors are looking for four specific defects at each of the card's four corners:
- Micro-wear / fraying: The paper fibers at the very tip of the corner have separated slightly. Under a loupe this looks like a soft, fuzzy tip instead of a sharp point. This is the most common defect on otherwise high-grade cards.
- Dinged corners: A physical impact has bent or creased the corner. Usually visible to the naked eye; a loupe reveals severity.
- Corner chipping: A small piece of the card stock at the corner has flaked away, exposing the inner paper core. Often called a "ding" when minor or a "chip" when more significant.
- Rolled corners: The corner has a slight curl rather than lying flat. Common in older cards that were stored in rubber bands or stacked without protection.
A single fuzzy corner under loupe is often the difference between a PSA 9 and a PSA 10. Corners are the most frequently cited reason for grade reductions on modern cards from the 1980s onward.
Edges
The four edges of a card (top, bottom, left, right) are inspected for chipping, nicks, and rough manufacturing cuts. Edge defects fall into two categories:
- Post-production damage: Nicks from cards rubbing together in a stack, chipping from handling, or rough storage. These are the collector's fault and will reduce the grade.
- Manufacturing defects: Rough or jagged edges from imprecise cutting during printing. These are present from day one and can prevent a high grade even on a card that was never touched. Graders distinguish between "rough cut" (a manufacturing reality for some sets) and genuine damage, but both count against the grade.
Run your fingernail very gently along each edge to feel for roughness that may not be visible. Examine edges under raking light — a flashlight held at a low angle parallel to the card surface — to catch chips and nicks that disappear under direct lighting.
Surface
Surface grading covers everything on the front and back faces of the card: print defects, scratches, creases, stains, and print lines. It is the most subjective of the four criteria and the hardest to self-assess accurately.
- Print defects: Dots, lines, or smears introduced during the printing process. These include print lines (fine streaks in the ink), ink smears, and registration errors where the color layers did not align correctly.
- Scratches: Surface scuffs from sliding against other cards or rough surfaces. On glossy cards, scratches catch light and appear as bright streaks when the card is tilted.
- Creases: Any bend in the card body. Even a very subtle crease that does not break the surface will catch light and is immediately detectable by experienced graders. Creases are typically automatic grade reducers — a creased card rarely grades above PSA 6.
- Stains: Fingerprint oils, adhesive residue, moisture marks. Fingerprints are particularly common and are often invisible until the card is held under a bright light and tilted.
3. The Grading Scale: What Each Number Means
PSA uses a 1-to-10 integer scale, with 10 being Gem Mint. BGS uses a 1-to-10 scale with half-point increments and the rarest grade of all: a 10 Pristine. Here are the grades collectors care about most and what they mean in practice.
| PSA Grade | Label Name | Condition Description | Typical Price vs. Raw |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Gem Mint | Four perfectly sharp corners, crisp edges, clean surface, centering within 55/45 front and 75/25 back. Near-perfect in every respect. | 3x–20x+ raw value (card-dependent) |
| 9 | Mint | One minor flaw allowed — slight centering off, one barely fuzzy corner under loupe, a tiny surface mark. Still sharp and clean to the naked eye. | 1.5x–5x raw value |
| 8 | Near Mint–Mint | Two or three minor flaws. Edges may show very slight roughness. Corners show slight wear. Overall sharp appearance from normal viewing distance. | 1.2x–2x raw value |
| 7 | Near Mint | Light wear on corners and edges visible to the naked eye. Surface may show minor print defects. Card still well-centered and attractive. | ~1x–1.5x raw value |
| 6 | Excellent–Mint | Some roughness on edges, corner wear more pronounced. No creases, no stains. Card has been handled but stored with care. | Often at or below raw value |
The most important price gap in the hobby is PSA 9 to PSA 10. For highly collected modern cards — rookie cards of active stars, short-print parallels, key vintage issues — the difference between a 9 and a 10 can be 3x to 10x the sale price. A card that grades PSA 9 instead of 10 does not just miss the top grade; it misses the category where the most aggressive buyers compete.
For raw card buyers, PSA 8 is often the strategic sweet spot. A card that grades PSA 8 typically returns 20–100% above the raw purchase price, and the probability of achieving PSA 8 is far higher than PSA 10 on most cards. If you are sourcing raw cards for submission, a realistic PSA 8 candidate with solid economics often beats a long-shot PSA 10 gamble.
4. The Grading Companies
Four companies dominate the third-party grading market. Each has different strengths, turnaround times, price points, and collector perception. Choosing the right company for your submission is a strategic decision that affects resale value.
| Company | Market Focus | Economy Turnaround | Economy Price (approx.) | Market Liquidity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSA | Sports cards, all eras | 45–90 days (economy) | $25–$50/card | Highest — dominant on eBay |
| BGS (Beckett) | Sports cards; premium modern | 30–60 days (economy) | $25–$35/card | Strong, especially for high-end modern |
| SGC | Vintage sports; growing modern | 15–45 days (economy) | $22–$30/card | Moderate; premium for vintage T206-era |
| CGC | Trading card games (Pokemon, MTG) | 30–60 days (economy) | $25–$35/card | Growing rapidly; strong in TCG market |
PSA is the clear market leader for sports cards. More cards are graded by PSA than all other companies combined, which means pop reports are larger, price history is richer, and secondary market liquidity is highest. For most sports card investors, PSA is the default choice unless you have a specific reason to deviate.
BGS (Beckett) is prized for its sub-grade system — the slab label displays separate scores for centering, corners, edges, and surface in addition to the overall grade. A BGS 9.5 with sub-grades of 10 across the board (called a "Black Label Pristine") can command premiums significantly above a standard BGS 9.5. BGS is also considered stricter than PSA at equivalent overall grades, meaning a BGS 9 is often viewed by experienced collectors as equivalent in actual card quality to a PSA 10.
SGC has carved out a strong niche in vintage pre-war cards and tobacco cards (T206, T205 era). Their slabs have a distinctive black background that many vintage collectors prefer aesthetically. Turnaround times are often faster than PSA at the economy tier.
Cross-grading — cracking a card out of one company's slab and resubmitting to another — is common practice. Collectors frequently cross BGS 9.5 cards to PSA hoping to earn a PSA 10 (given BGS's stricter standards), or cross vintage SGC cards to PSA for better liquidity. The economics must pencil out: factor in the crack-out risk (the card could come back lower), the new grading fee, and the expected price differential.
See also: comparing PSA, BGS, SGC, and CGC grading companies.
5. How to Pregrade Your Own Card
Professional pregrading — running your own four-criteria inspection before submission — is the single most important skill a card investor can develop. Submitting cards that have no realistic path to the grade you need is the fastest way to destroy your submission economics.
Tools You Need
- 10x loupe or jeweler's loupe: Available for under $15 online. Essential for corner and edge inspection. A phone camera zoomed in is a poor substitute — the depth of field is wrong and compression artifacts can fool you.
- Bright directional light: A single LED desk lamp or a phone flashlight. You need a single-source directional light, not ambient room light.
- Black and white backing cards: Hold a white card behind your card to check print defects; switch to black to check for surface scratches. Surface scratches that are invisible against white backgrounds pop immediately against black.
- Digital calipers or a precise ruler: For measuring centering. Analog rulers work but calipers give you measurements to the tenth of a millimeter, which matters when you are right on the edge of the 55/45 tolerance.
The 4-Step Self-Inspection Process
- Centering first. Measure border widths with calipers before touching anything else. Calculate your left/right and top/bottom ratios. If you are outside 55/45 front, stop — this card is not a PSA 10 candidate regardless of what else you find.
- Corners under loupe. Examine all four corners at 10x under your directional light. Rotate the card so each corner passes under the center of the loupe. Look for fraying, micro-wear, and bends. Count defects and note severity.
- Edges under raking light. Hold the card horizontally and angle your light source to rake across each edge in turn. Chips and nicks cast shadows that are invisible under direct lighting but immediately apparent at a low angle. Run all four edges this way.
- Surface tilt test. Place the card on a flat surface and slowly tilt it toward and away from your light source while holding the light fixed. Watch the surface carefully for scratches (bright streaks), print lines (fine parallel streaks in the ink layer), and fingerprint oils (hazy patches). Repeat on the back.
Common Self-Grading Mistakes
The most common mistake is inspecting under flat overhead light. Defects disappear under flat illumination. Always use a single directional source.
The second most common mistake is not checking the back. Many collectors obsess over the front and miss a crease, stain, or print defect on the back that the grader will find in the first five seconds.
The third mistake is dismissing micro-wear as "nothing." What looks like a perfectly sharp corner to the naked eye can show fuzzy tips under a loupe. If you do not own a loupe, you are not pregrading — you are guessing.
6. The Submission Math: When Grading Makes Economic Sense
Grading is not free, and the cost is not just the submission fee. Here is the full formula for evaluating whether a submission pencils out:
Expected Value = (P(10) × Price10) + (P(9) × Price9) + (P(8) × Price8) + ... − Grading Fee − Shipping − Time Cost
Where P(grade) is the probability your card returns at that grade based on your self-inspection, and Price(grade) is the realistic current sale price for that grade based on recent eBay sold comps.
A card that costs you $30 raw, has a 20% chance of PSA 10 ($200 sale), 60% chance of PSA 9 ($60 sale), and 20% chance of PSA 8 ($35 sale) has an expected return of ($40 + $36 + $7) = $83. Subtract a $30 grading fee, $8 shipping round-trip, and your time value — suddenly the math is thin. You need the upside of the PSA 10 scenario to be significantly larger, or the probabilities to be more favorable, for grading to make economic sense.
Pop Reports and How They Affect Value
Population reports ("pop reports") published by each grading company show how many copies of a card have been graded at each level. These reports are essential inputs to your submission math.
A low PSA 10 pop (fewer than 100 copies graded 10) on a card with high demand creates scarcity that inflates the PSA 10 price — making the upside of a successful submission much larger. A card with 5,000 PSA 10s in the pop report has diluted that scarcity premium, and the economics of submission are correspondingly weaker.
Pop reports also tell you something about the card's natural grade distribution. If only 2% of submissions return PSA 10 for a given card, that is a signal about the card's manufacturing quality and typical condition in the population. Your probability of beating the population average is only as good as the quality of your specific copy.
See also: how to read a PSA population report.
7. How AI Pregrading Works
AgentGrail's AI pregrader runs the same four-criteria inspection framework from a photograph of your card. Here is what happens under the hood when you upload a card image:
Centering: The model detects the card boundaries using computer vision and measures border widths in pixels. It calculates left/right and top/bottom ratios and flags cards that fall outside PSA's 55/45 tolerance. This is the most objective measurement and the one where computer vision performs closest to human inspection.
Corner wear: The model examines each corner region at high resolution, looking for the visual signature of micro-wear: soft, rounded corner tips instead of sharp points, and the characteristic texture of frayed paper fibers. Edge detection algorithms identify whether corner tips show the clean geometry of an unhandled card or the softened profile of wear.
Edge condition: Edge analysis uses gradient detection to identify chipping and nicking along card edges. The model looks for discontinuities in the edge line — places where the clean straight edge of the card is interrupted by a chip or rough cut.
Surface defects: A vision model trained on thousands of graded cards looks for the visual signatures of scratches, print lines, and stains. It is particularly tuned to detect the linear patterns of surface scratches and the parallel striping of print lines.
The system outputs a confidence-gated verdict: BUY (strong PSA 10 candidate), REVIEW (borderline — worth a closer look), or PASS (significant defects detected). Verdicts are only returned at high confidence levels — below the confidence threshold, the system honestly reports that it cannot assess the card from the available photo rather than returning a misleading result.
The practical limitation of AI pregrading is the same as self-inspection from photos: surface defects only visible under raking light will not appear in a straight-on photograph. For maximum accuracy, photograph your card under raking light as well as direct light, and submit both images. The AI pregrader performs best as a first-pass filter to eliminate clear non-candidates, not as a replacement for professional in-hand inspection.
8. Common Grading Mistakes to Avoid
Submitting Cards with No Margin for PSA 10
The most expensive mistake in card grading is submitting a card at PSA 10 service level when the card has no realistic shot at PSA 10. If your centering is 60/40 or your corners show visible wear to the naked eye, the card will come back PSA 8 or PSA 9 at best. You will have paid the higher service fee for a grade that barely covers costs. Always self-inspect before choosing your service tier.
Forgetting to Check for Print Defects
Print defects are a PSA 10 killer and they are entirely beyond the collector's control — the defect was introduced at the factory. Many collectors spend hours protecting a card from handling damage, only to lose the PSA 10 to a print line that was there on day one. Always check for print lines and print dots using the tilt test under a directional light source before submitting.
Choosing the Wrong Service Tier
Grading companies offer multiple service tiers priced by turnaround time. The cheapest tiers (economy, bulk) have the longest turnarounds — sometimes six months or more during high-demand periods. During that time your capital is tied up, market conditions can shift dramatically, and you are holding cards you cannot sell. Conversely, rushing to an expensive express tier for cards that do not warrant the cost destroys margins. Match your service tier to the card's value: low-value cards go economy, high-value speculative submissions may justify faster turnaround.
Not Accounting for Return Shipping Risk
Graded slabs are heavy and valuable. Cards worth over $500 should be insured both ways. Many collectors insure their outbound submission but forget that the grading company's return shipping is their own responsibility to insure. Check each company's shipping and insurance policy before you submit.
Ignoring the Card's Market Trajectory
A card's value at submission is not the same as its value six months later when it returns from grading. Player performance, rookie status, and broader market sentiment all shift the price. The submission math you ran when you sent a card in may look very different when you receive it back. Build in a margin of safety on your expected return price — use conservative comps, not the highest recent sale.
Know Before You Submit
AgentGrail's AI pregrader evaluates your card on all four criteria from a single photo — before you spend a dollar on submission. Get a confidence-gated BUY, REVIEW, or PASS verdict in seconds, with specific feedback on the factors most likely to affect your grade.
Try the AI Pregrader FreeFrequently Asked Questions
How much does it cost to get a card graded?
Economy-tier grading at PSA runs approximately $25–$50 per card as of 2026, with turnaround times of 45–90 days. BGS economy service is similar in price. SGC tends to be slightly cheaper and faster at the economy level. Higher-value cards benefit from faster service tiers, which can cost $100–$300+ per card. Always check current pricing directly on each company's website — fees have fluctuated significantly and the rates above are approximate.
Beyond the submission fee, budget for shipping to the company (insured), return shipping (also insured), and any packaging materials (card savers, bubble mailers, or submission forms). A realistic all-in cost for a single economy submission is $35–$65 per card.
What is the difference between PSA 9 and PSA 10?
PSA defines a 10 (Gem Mint) as a card with four perfectly sharp corners, clean edges, no visible surface defects, and centering within 55/45 left-to-right and 75/25 top-to-bottom. A PSA 9 (Mint) allows one minor flaw — slightly off centering, one barely fuzzy corner under loupe, or a small surface mark that does not detract from the card's overall eye appeal.
In terms of price, the gap between PSA 9 and PSA 10 is the single largest step in the grading scale for most collectible cards. On popular modern cards, a PSA 10 can sell for 3x to 10x what a PSA 9 of the same card brings. This gap reflects the scarcity of truly perfect specimens — for many cards, only 5–15% of submissions return at the PSA 10 level.
Can I crack a card out of a slab and resubmit it?
Yes. "Cracking" a graded card out of its slab and resubmitting to the same or a different company is a common practice called cross-grading. The most common scenario is cracking a BGS 9.5 to submit to PSA, hoping the stricter BGS standards mean the card has a real shot at PSA 10. Another common scenario is cracking an older SGC slab to submit to PSA for better secondary market liquidity.
The risk is real: once you crack a slab, you no longer have the original grade. If the card comes back lower than expected from the new company, you have destroyed value. Always model the downside scenarios carefully before cracking. Cards worth less than $200 rarely pencil out for cross-grading once you factor in the new submission fee and the risk of a lower return grade.
How long does grading take?
Turnaround times vary significantly by company, service tier, and current demand. As of 2026, PSA economy service typically runs 45–90 days, though during high-demand periods (hobby show seasons, major player events) turnaround times have stretched to 120+ days. BGS economy runs 30–60 days. SGC is generally faster at the economy tier, often 15–45 days.
All three companies offer expedited and super-express tiers for time-sensitive submissions, at significantly higher per-card fees. Check the current published turnaround estimates on each company's website before submitting — they update them regularly and they vary more than most collectors expect.
Does grading authenticate a card as genuine?
Yes — authentication is built into the grading process. PSA, BGS, and SGC all examine cards for authenticity, including checks for trimming, re-coloring, and artificial surface enhancement. A card that has been altered in any way to improve its apparent condition will be labeled "Authentic — Altered" or similar, which is essentially a scarlet letter that makes it unsaleable in the mainstream hobby market.
This authentication function is a large part of why graded slabs carry a market premium over raw cards. Buyers of graded cards know the card has passed expert scrutiny for both condition and authenticity. For vintage cards in particular — where trimming and cleaning were more commonly practiced in earlier decades — the authentication assurance of a graded slab is often worth as much as the grade itself.
Go Deeper: Related Guides
- How to Photograph Cards for Grading & eBay Listings — lighting setups, camera angles, and the specific shots that reveal every defect
- How to Pregrade Your Sports Cards at Home — step-by-step self-inspection walkthrough with tool recommendations
- How to Spot Trimmed and Altered Cards — protect yourself from the most common fraud in the raw card market
- PSA vs. BGS vs. SGC vs. CGC: Which Grading Company is Right for You? (2026) — detailed company comparison with submission strategy by card type
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the minimum card value that makes grading worth it?
As a general rule, a card needs a realistic path to a graded value of at least 3x your all-in submission cost before grading makes economic sense. With PSA economy service running $35–$65 per card all-in, that means the card should be worth at least $100–$200 in its target grade. Cards with a realistic PSA 10 ceiling below $75 will almost never pencil out after fees, shipping, and the risk of a lower-than-expected grade.
The exception is bulk submission at the lowest service tier, where per-card costs can drop to $18–$22 for cards valued under a certain threshold (thresholds vary by company and change frequently). Bulk is best suited to sets with predictable grade distributions where you are comfortable holding the cards if the economics shift.
What do BGS subgrades mean and why do collectors care about them?
BGS (Beckett Grading Services) displays four individual subgrades on the slab label — centering, corners, edges, and surface — in addition to the overall grade. A BGS 9.5 with four subgrades of 10 is called a "Black Label Pristine" and commands a significant premium over a standard BGS 9.5 because it proves the card is perfect in every dimension, not just on average. Subgrades also tell buyers exactly why a card received its overall grade — a 9.5 overall with a 9 centering subgrade is a different card from one with a 9 surface subgrade.
PSA and SGC do not display subgrades, which is one reason experienced collectors sometimes prefer BGS for high-end modern cards — the additional information supports higher prices for the best specimens and makes comparison shopping more transparent.
Are there cards I should never bother grading?
Yes. Cards with visible creases, heavy corner wear, or centering outside 65/35 are almost never worth submitting — they will grade PSA 6 or below, which typically sells at or below raw card prices and represents a net loss after grading fees. Cards from sets known for systematic print quality problems (certain early 1990s overproduction-era issues, for example) also rarely justify submission because manufacturing defects prevent high grades regardless of how carefully the card was stored.
Cards featuring players with declining or uncertain market interest are another category to avoid — a PSA 10 of a player whose career has stalled can take years to sell, tying up capital at no return. Always check recent eBay sold comps for the specific grade before submitting, not just raw prices.
Is SGC better than PSA for vintage cards?
SGC has a strong reputation specifically in the pre-war and early vintage market — tobacco era cards (T206, T205), early Goudey sets, and similar pre-1950 issues. Their distinctive black-background slabs are aesthetically preferred by many vintage collectors, and SGC's graders have deep expertise in the specific defects common to century-old cards. For T206-era material, SGC slabs can carry comparable or even superior premiums to PSA among vintage specialists.
For post-war vintage (1950s–1970s) and modern cards, PSA dominates in liquidity and buyer recognition. Unless you are specifically targeting SGC's vintage collector base, PSA will typically produce faster sales and broader buyer competition for most non-tobacco vintage material.
Can a pack-fresh card still fail to grade PSA 10?
Yes, and this is one of the most common surprises for new collectors. Cards can have print defects, off-center cutting, and surface imperfections that are introduced during manufacturing — before the card ever enters a pack. Opening a pack and immediately sleeving a card does not guarantee a PSA 10, or even a PSA 9. Some sets and print runs are notorious for poor centering right off the press, and some print facilities produce consistent print line or ink smear issues affecting thousands of cards from the same production run.
This is why pregrading a card before submission is essential even for fresh-from-pack copies. Measure centering with calipers and run the tilt test for surface defects before assuming a pack-pulled card is a PSA 10 candidate.
What is a PSA population report and how do I use it to decide whether to grade a card?
A PSA population report (pop report) shows the total number of copies of a specific card that PSA has graded, broken down by grade level. You can find it on PSA's website by searching for the card. The report tells you two critical things: how many PSA 10s exist in the market (affecting scarcity and price), and what percentage of all submissions have returned at PSA 10 (your realistic probability of achieving that grade).
A card with 50 PSA 10s out of 2,000 total graded copies has a 2.5% PSA 10 rate — low odds and a thin market. A card with 500 PSA 10s out of 3,000 total has better odds (16%) but more diluted scarcity. Use the pop report to calibrate both your submission probability estimates and your expected PSA 10 sale price before committing to grading fees.